The researchers also looked at the outcome if the vaccination campaign had been conducted at half its actual pace. Under that scenario, 121,000 more Americans would have died while a further 450,000 people would have ended up in hospital. The model took a range of factors into account including the transmissibility of new variants of Covid-19, vaccine efficacy, increased risk with age and the level of daily contacts. It found that the bulk of additional deaths under the two scenarios above would have occurred due to the emergence of the Alpha variant of Covid-19 first identified in the U.K. and also known as B.1.1.7,
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